This week’s announcement to revoke $4 billion in federal grants for California’s bullet train initiative threatens to delay even partial passenger service on the country’s largest infrastructure endeavor by potentially up to a decade, according to several experts.
Although the state might pursue legal action or hope for reinstatement of funds under a future administration, this move marks one of the most significant obstacles the project has encountered since its inception 17 years ago.
The ambitious plan to connect Los Angeles and San Francisco with a high-speed train capable of completing the journey in under three hours has already faced multiple reductions in scope amid rising costs and repeated construction delays. However, until now, the California High-Speed Rail Authority maintained sufficient financial reserves to continue incremental progress.
Over the past four years, nearly all of a $9 billion state bond approved by voters in 2008 has been allocated. Without the federal grants, funding for completing even the initial 171-mile segment through the Central Valley — linking Merced and Bakersfield, cities distant from California’s major urban centers — will be severely constrained.
Rail industry expert Louis Thompson, who chaired a state-appointed peer review board for the project for over a decade, remarked, "Electric trains running between Merced and Bakersfield won’t be operational for a very long time. Without federal funding, we’re looking at delays of at least ten years. This is a harsh reality."
If the Department of Transportation proceeds with cancelling the grants next month as planned, California is expected to initiate a legal challenge that could extend over several years.
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